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Assad rebounds

Assad Rebounds

Wounded, a roaring lion looks westwards…

Burning of the Souk
Aleppo, September 28, 2012

During the first days of October 2012, several events accumulated into what looks as a Syrian government rebound; one year and seven months after an Arab Spring spinoff-war begun, neither the rebels nor their Western masters have made any significant conquest. On the contrary, the Syrian government has become confident enough to make astonishing statements, which follow gains on the ground against the rebels. Due to the situation in the country, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad couldn’t reach the 67th UN General Assembly. Instead, Foreign Minister Walid Muallem delivered an astonishing speech, in which he said “What is worst of all is to see permanent members of the Security Council… now supporting terrorism in my country.” For those unable to understand the clue, he added sharp comments against the US, France, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar. The truth that until now was relegated to obscure websites was now openly uttered from the UN main podium: the West perpetrates terrorism. This astonishing confidence was a collateral corroboration of several Syrian government victories.

Weakening Rebels

Syrian Army Tanks
Aleppo, late September

The picture accompanying the paragraph above is of the Old Market in Aleppo, which burned on September 28. The picture to the left of this one shows Syrian Army tanks on Aleppo’s streets. This is the country’s second largest city; located in Syria’s north, it is the country’s main commercial center. Its importance and closeness to Turkey made it an ideal target for the rebels; if conquering it, the Syrian government would lose much of its prestige and military flexibility. Yet, the rebels failed, at the cost of the almost complete destruction of this important UNESCO World Heritage Site. Moreover, their forces seem to be disintegrating. In the last week of September, Brigadier General Mustafa al-Sheikh, who heads the Free Syrian Army’s Military Council—in other words, the rebels—told the Associated Press that they were moving their headquarters from Turkey to Syria. They were hoping to relocate in Aleppo. Instead, they were relegated to the semi-desert countryside. Bashar al-Assad is laughing hard at this; any non-major city is not a proper military headquarter. Without Western help, the rebels will have no access to proper supplies, especially since many of its members are foreign mercenaries.

As of now, the Free Syria Army has no proper headquarters; moreover, its Military Council has failed to unify the rebel factions. The Khalid bin Walid Brigade in Homs, the Harmoush Battalion in the Jebel al-Zawiya Mountains, and the Omari Battalion in the Hawran Plain, are practically independent from the Free Syrian Army, and unlikely to respond to an organization which doesn’t control any significant ground. Other rebel groups do not maintain any contacts with the FSA, and are still active because Assad is concentrated on what he considers the main target: the FSA. Other rebels would be smashed after the FSA disappears as a fighting force.

Blocked West

Syria is not Libya; the West miscalculated the attack. The Syrian army is mighty; not taking into account American special weapons, it is stronger than the Israeli one. However, this wasn’t enough to stop a slightly-disguised Western attack on Syria. Strategic allies are keeping Syria afloat. The Syrian Army gets support from Russia, China, North Korea and Iran. Russia and China are constantly blocking resolutions against Syria at the UN Security Council. This means that neither the USA nor NATO will be able to attack directly. Moreover, Tarsus is one of Syria’s two main ports and the only Russian navy base in the Mediterranean Sea. Russia is unlikely to give up this strategic asset for the sake of the creation of a Western puppet-regime. In other words, the Western aggression is limited to providing military help to the rebels and mercenaries.

The limited Western strength was strongly shown on June 22, 2012, an American-made Phantom F-4 jet in service of the Turkish army was downed by Syrian air defense systems (see Gul’s Goal: Turkish F-4 downed by Syria). Subsequently, the plane crashed into the Mediterranean Sea. The event showed everybody that the very strong Syrian air defense system is fully operative. Syria owns one of the most sophisticated systems in the Middle East; it regularly upgrades it with Russian equipment.

The Western weakness has been reported also by mainstream American media. On September 4, 2012, The New York Times, reported “Iran has resumed shipping military equipment to Syria over Iraqi airspace.” the feat was done over Iraqi airspace, avoiding the larger routes used until now. The USA has lost influence in Iraq. The latter lacks an air force, thus its skies are open to others; just another example how violence backfires. The Americans have cleared the way for Iran. Iran looks too eager to help Syria. They are allies, Syria offers a comfy gate to the Mediterranean Sea, and a land link to the Hezbollah in Southern Lebanon. Iran understands that if Syria falls, it would be the next target; hence, it helps generously.

Assad rebounds ~ “Assad” means “lion” in Arabic

Assad Rebounds

Assad may be a wounded lion by now (“Assad” means “Lion” in Arabic), but he is rebounding. Pretty soon, the mercenaries and rebels may disappear into the desert sands that vomited them in disgust one year and seven months ago. Afterwards, Syria will begin a lengthy restoration process. Bashar al-Assad learned a painful lesson.

Israeli soldiers taking aim next to the Syrian-Israeli border fence near Majdal Shams, June 5, 2011
Photo courtesy of Reuters

Shortly after the war began, Israel intervened directly. June 5, 2011 – was commemorated the Naksa Day, on the 44th anniversary of the 1967 Six-Day War. The events included demonstrations on the Syrian side of the Golan Heights, mainly near the destroyed city of Quneitra and near the Druze village of Majdal Sham. The IDF killed at least 23 people in the rally. Official Syrian news agency SANA quoted Health Minister Wael al-Halki as saying the death toll included a woman and a child, adding that another 350 people suffered gunshot wounds. UN chief Ban Ki-moon said live Israeli fire had caused casualties and UN monitors were seeking to confirm facts. The IDF said that since all the casualties were on the Syrian side of the border it was unable to provide an exact count. Assad did nothing in the aftermath to defend his people, accepting the brutal murdering. At no moment, the unarmed pheasant on the Syrian side of the border posed any danger to Israel.

Apparently, this was a well-calculated Israeli provocation. Israel assumed that Syria won’t react due to the ongoing protests in the country. Back then they hadn’t yet deteriorated into a war. Israel was right. Bashar al-Assad didn’t react and the event triggered the intensification of the protests. Also Israel miscalculated. One year later, we may be witnessing the end of the war in Syria. Right after that, a wounded lion will sit next to the fence delimiting its southwestern border. This time, the lion will roar.

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16 Responses to Assad Rebounds

  1. who_me October 3, 2012 at 4:04 am #

    “Assad did nothing in the aftermath to defend his people, accepting the brutal murdering.”

    there is not much syria can do to israel. that’s the problem.

  2. who_me October 3, 2012 at 6:26 pm #

    israel has been very busy in the last couple of days. car bombs in aleppo, lobbing mortar rounds across the turk border…

    • who_me October 3, 2012 at 6:29 pm #

      Five Turks Killed Along FSA Supply Line

      “The Turkish prime minister Erdogan is under a lot of pressure for his support of the insurgency in Syria. The Turkish public opinion is by a large margin against this policy.

      It is obvious that the insurgencies supply route for their attack on al-Raqqa is through Tal Abyad and the Turkish town of Akçakale. Those five Turkish people killed there today along that supply line are a direct consequence of Erdogan’s material support for the insurgency.

      Any further dead in an escalation would be, like the dead today, his direct responsibility.

      The Obama administration is just as guilty as Erdogan is. Three bombs the insurgents exploded today in Aleppo killed over 40 civilians. This only days after Hillary Clinton increased the material support for especially those insurgents in Aleppo. The “non-lethal” radios the U.S. is giving to the insurgents are just as deadly as the bombs those radios trigger.”

    • who_me October 3, 2012 at 6:32 pm #

      “Al Qaeda attacked the Syrian Ministry of Defence on 26 September 2012. The attackers were disguised as Syrian soldiers and used a service vehicle. They managed to cross the security checkpoints by showing fake papers. Their plan to kill the Chiefs of Staff backfired, since they were given the wrong information and ended up in the wrong building. Contrary to Western media claims, they did not receive any inside help.”

  3. who_me October 4, 2012 at 1:02 am #

    israel’s buttbois in turkey have now attacked syria openly.

  4. Rehmat October 4, 2012 at 3:29 am #

    Syria under Assad is the weakest link within the ‘Axis of Resistance (Iran-Hizbullah-Syria)’. The secularist Ba’athist regime has always been US and western friendly. It have never used military force to recover its Golan Heights since it was occupied by the Jewish army in 1967. Is support for Hamas and Hizbullah is a counter-balance strategy against the Zionist regime. Damascus alliance with Iran is based on economic benefits.

    Syria is not Libya, but is no match to Israeli military power which always comes with the US and British support.

    Bashar al-Assad will stay in power as long as it’s backed by the powerful Syrian military.

    • who_me October 4, 2012 at 4:50 pm #

      “Bashar al-Assad will stay in power as long as it’s backed by the powerful Syrian military.”

      The syrian military is not powerful and this is why syria was unable to respond to the israeli attack several years ago and why they can not defend themselves from an outright nato or israeli invasion. any counterattack syria would make would be used by the zionazis to justify full scale israeli/nato invasion of their country. and because jews run most of the western media, most people in the west would not find out about the zionazi hitlerian tactics until long after syria was destroyed and many syrians lay dead in the ground.

    • botafogo October 5, 2012 at 12:25 am #

      are you Rehmat replacing Khalid Hamayreh or what?

      “Syria under Assad is the weakest link within the ‘Axis of Resistance (Iran-Hizbullah-Syria)’.”

      1. “the weakest link” or not, the problem is that there is NO OTHER link – all other arab countries have capitulated long ago and are actively working AGAINST the Resistance.
      2.”Syria UNDER Assad” – a well known stale refrain as if UNDER someone else(like MB e.g.?) this Resistance link would be stronger – ha ha ha, give me a break

      “The secularist Ba’athist regime has always been US and western friendly.”

      it might have(or not) “been US and western friendly” BUT ALL other arab regimes, secularist or not, have been and ARE much much much more “US and western friendly”.
      so in order to avoid lying you should’ve said here:

      “The secularist Ba’athist regime has always been THE LEAST(of ALL arab regimes, secularist or not) US and western friendly”

      “It have never used military force to recover its Golan Heights since it was occupied by the Jewish army in 1967.”

      my goodness! i heared this idiotic and mendatious mantra thousands of times! liers pretend not to know that in order to capture a piece of territory one has AT THE VERY LEAST to have parity, if not superiority in the air which is not the case here.
      however the Syrian government, differently from the rest of the arab governments, is fighting the zios – according to Saed Hassan Nasrullah nearly all the missiles they fired in the 2006 war were SYRIAN made.
      you tell me where were all other arab governments during that war and what were they engaged in? the answer is – they were ALL with NO exception plotting with the zios AGAINST Hizbullah

      “Is support for Hamas and Hizbullah is a counter-balance strategy against the Zionist regime.”

      even if it were true what would be wrong with that?
      why don’t the rest of the arab regimes adopt the same attitude for the same reason? why the Syrian government is the ONLY one to do it?

      “Damascus alliance with Iran is based on economic benefits.”

      really? who told you this? Damascus or Iran? i see you enjoy their confidentiality! well done!
      and btw if it were indeed your dreamed up “economic benefits” wouldn’t it be much much much more “economically benefitial” for Damascus to form alliances with say saudis or qataris?

      “Syria is not Libya, but is no match to Israeli military power which always comes with the US and British support.”

      of course Syria is not Libya and Syria actually IS a very good “match to Israeli military power”, otherwise the syrians would have long ago shared the fate of the palestinians.

      “Bashar al-Assad will stay in power as long as it’s backed by the powerful Syrian military.”

      what a stupid thing to say – of course ANY government in ANY country will stay in power as long as it’s backed by its military(and police).
      and the Syrian military is the people of Syria, btw you do admit it’s POWERFUL don’t you?
      do you have more funny stories to tell? i must say that Khalid Hamayreh was a bit more entertaining

  5. who_me October 4, 2012 at 8:44 pm #

    “Brookings continues by describing how Turkey’s aligning of vast amounts of weapons and troops along its border in coordination with Israeli efforts in the south of Syria, could help effect violent regime change in Syria:

    In addition, Israel’s intelligence services have a strong knowledge of Syria, as well as assets within the Syrian regime that could be used to subvert the regime’s power base and press for Asad’s removal. Israel could posture forces on or near the Golan Heights and, in so doing, might divert regime forces from suppressing the opposition. This posture may conjure fears in the Asad regime of a multi-front war, particularly if Turkey is willing to do the same on its border and if the Syrian opposition is being fed a steady diet of arms and training. Such a mobilization could perhaps persuade Syria’s military leadership to oust Asad in order to preserve itself. Advocates argue this additional pressure could tip the balance against Asad inside Syria, if other forces were aligned properly. -page 6, Assessing Options for Regime Change, Brookings Institution.

    Turkish leaders have clearly spent much time fabricating various excuses to meet Washington’s demands in this regard by fabricating or taking advantage of violence Turkey itself is fostering along its own border with Syria.”

    further down in the piece, cartalucci mentioned the turkish town that had been shelled was 6 miles away from the syrian border. there is no way that syrian forces would be so stupid to deliberately shell a turkish town, nor could they accidentally shell a spot six miles within turkish territory. obviously, the town was shelled by zionazis, or one of their stooges, with full turkish knowledge and active involvement. considering the way israel’s american colony reacted, this was a carefully planned falseflag.

  6. pgg804 October 4, 2012 at 10:13 pm #

    Our Jewish media and leaders are still looking for ways to kill Assad and destroy Syria and I’m afraid they’re going to find an excuse. I’m looking at today’s New York Times and Der Spiegel’s website. They are both talking about the same thing in their first, front page article.

    According to the Times, a bomb from Syria went over the Turkish border and killed some civilians. If that is even the case, I’m sure Syria would either be returning fire or it went over the border by mistake. Both articles cite Turkey’s membership in NATO which calls for all other NATO members to defend a nation under attack.

    This could be their excuse. I wouldn’t put it past them. Does anyone recall any similar suggestion when Israel murdered the Turkish humanitarians bring aid to Palestinians. I saw no such suggestion even though Turkey is a NATO ally and Israel has not defense treaty with the USA (or as far as I know any European country). Turkey’s NATO membership was ignored and the mainstream media did its best to defend Israel; it certainly waqsn’t critical.

    I’m ready for the revolution. I can’t stand these bastards.

  7. who_me October 5, 2012 at 9:04 pm #

    “In addition there is a new leaked video clip of the so-called “Free Syrian Army” (FSA) members in which they allegedly take responsibility for the NATO false flag attack against the Turkish town of Akçakale in southern Turkey.

    These radicals, religious fanatics and Western-backed fighters are based in the area of Tell Abyad (Tel Abiad / Tel Abyad) in the province of al-Raqqa near the northern Syrian town of Aleppo. The “Free Syrian Army” (FSA) members have mortar shells as they prove this also in this video clip.”

    but the zionazis got their own “gleiwitz incident” against syria and upped the conflict. what they wanted to set the stage for further falseflags and their use to ratchet up the conflict further, now that their terrorists are obviously not succeeding in their original intent to divide the country and send it into total chaos.

  8. who_me October 5, 2012 at 9:18 pm #

    see also:

    “The Turkish attack was ordered in response to what was apparently the accidental strike by a Syrian mortar on the town of Akçakale on Turkey’s southeastern border with Syria. One shell struck a house in the town’s residential section, killing a woman and her four children. It was by no means clear which side was responsible for the shelling, however, and some commentators in Turkey suggested that it could have been deliberately staged with the aim of provoking a Turkish intervention.

    Unlike the woman and children killed in Akçakale, the Turkish government is hardly an innocent victim. Nor does Washington have any moral standing to proclaim “outrage” over the bloodshed.

    Turkey has provided its territory as a base of operations for the so-called Free Syrian Army, while allowing the US to set up a CIA command-and-control center in Adana, the southern Turkish city that also hosts the US Incirlik Air Base. From there it coordinates the flow of weapons, materiel, money and foreign fighters to wage a war aimed at toppling the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and replacing it with a more pliant puppet.

    The Turkish government has argued strenuously for the imposition of a “humanitarian corridor,” which would inevitably require the direct intervention of NATO warplanes and ground forces.

    Turkish military officers have reportedly been sent into Syria to direct military operations of the insurgents.

    Ankara’s bellicose policy toward Syria is deeply unpopular among wide layers of the Turkish population, which see Turkey serving as a pawn in US imperialism’s strategy of asserting its hegemony over the Middle East.

    The Turkish press reported that the deaths in Akçakale had caused an angry demonstration by townspeople, who demanded the resignation of the local government. Police used tear gas and pepper spray against the crowd before the district governor was taken away in an armored car.”

    perhaps turks are getting tired of their israel/american occupation government? fear of rebellion inside turkey might be one of the reasons holding the zionazis back from unleashing an overt invasion of syria.

  9. who_me October 6, 2012 at 4:20 am #

    israel’s pet turkish bum bandits at work and play:

    Journalist Almost Assasinated for Exposing Turkey Delivering Weapons to Syrian Insurgents

    “Lebanese Journalist for Al Jadeed TV, Yumna Fawaz was embedded with Syrian opposition groups on the Syria-Lebanese border. When she witnessed Turkish officers distributing weapons to insurgent groups inside Syria, as a result she was taken hostage by the Turkish officers and her video tapes siezed. The intention may have been to execute and silence her and blame the Syrian government, because at the same her station received news from the Free Syrian Army claiming that she has been killed by the Syrian government. A phone call may have saved her.
    Youtube seems to be advertising on my videos against my consent.”

    click the cc button on the video controls for english subtitles.

  10. who_me October 6, 2012 at 4:26 am #

    syrian girl on the recent israeli falseflag:

    “Syria did not appologize!
    These are more Turkish lies! The Syrian ambassador to the UN Jaafari has had to come out and say we did not Apologize.

    Syria has continuously defeated the terrorists inside Aleppo. The Army has held together, defections where too few. NATO has to find another way to attack Syria. One was to accuse her of firing mortars into turkey as a pretext for Turkey to Attack start artillery strikes into Syrian territory. Th scenario is very much what was detailed in the brookings institute report, as pointed out by Toni Cartalucci from Land destroyer” – see my post above to the tc articles.

  11. who_me October 6, 2012 at 5:22 am #

    meanwhile, israel’s leashed buttboi threatens war:

    erdogan has proved himself to be the same sort of sniveling, israeli sucking coward as the military yahoos his government supposedly replaced.